There is an interesting post on The New Republic blog that takes a look at the McKinsey report that foresaw employees losing employer-sponsored health care coverage as their poll of senior leadership at a number of companies found that many felt that it would be more cost-effective to drop employee coverage and pay the associated fine rather than meet the requirements of the legislation. Critics of the paper had pointed out several weaknesses with the survey McKinsey conducted.
Additional studies conducted by other groups that focused on predicting future employer behavior by reviewing past behavior led to a different outcome. In fact, one analysis by RWJF and Avalere Consulting found that the majority of employers will continue to offer health insurance even after health care reform.
What are your thoughts on this?